Dynamic spillover effects and connectedness among climate change, technological innovation, and uncertainty: Evidence from a quantile VAR network and wavelet coherence

社会联系 溢出效应 分位数 向量自回归 计量经济学 波动性(金融) 气候变化 小波 经济 休克(循环) 金融经济学 计算机科学 宏观经济学 生态学 心理学 人工智能 生物 内科学 心理治疗师 医学
作者
Rabeh Khalfaoui,Nicolae Stef,Ben Arfi Wissal,Ben Jabeur Sami
出处
期刊:Technological Forecasting and Social Change [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:181: 121743-121743 被引量:52
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121743
摘要

• QVAR and multiple wavelet coherence frameworks were applied. • The frameworks report a strong connectedness between climate change indexes. • Climate change markets are impacted by technical innovation and uncertainty. • Such markets were subject to a switching effect during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study investigated time-frequency transmission and connectedness among green indexes dealing with clean energy, environmental preservation, and technological innovation and information uncertainty related to economics news, the COVID-19 pandemic, and Twitter usage. First, by employing a quantile vector autoregression framework, we assessed how the static and dynamic connectedness between markets switched across a broad spectrum of market conditions, particularly bear, normal, and bull markets. Second, we examined the dynamics of the co-movement between green financial markets and the level of uncertainty in the time-frequency domain using novel vector wavelet coherence analysis. Our analysis yielded the following major findings: Statically, high spillover and volatility effects existed among the indexes; dynamically, evidence of very strong connectedness between climate change indexes was reported at extreme lower and extreme upper quantiles. The findings further exhibit the switching of climate change between net contributing/net receiving shock behavior during the pandemic. Technological innovation, the COVID-19 pandemic, and uncertainty have strong effects on climate change markets as revealed by multiple, quadruple, and vector wavelet analysis. Implications for both environmental investors and policymakers were revealed.
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