Growth rates and histopathological outcomes of small (6–9 mm) colorectal polyps based on CT colonography surveillance and endoscopic removal

The natural history of small polyps is not well established and rests on limited evidence from barium enema studies decades ago. Patients with one or two small polyps (6-9 mm) at screening CT colonography (CTC) are offered CTC surveillance at 3 years but may elect immediate colonoscopy. This practice allows direct observation of the growth of subcentimetre polyps, with histopathological correlation in patients undergoing subsequent polypectomy.Of 11 165 asymptomatic patients screened by CTC over a period of 16.4 years, 1067 had one or two 6-9 mm polyps detected (with no polyps ≥10 mm). Of these, 314 (mean age, 57.4 years; M:F, 141:173; 375 total polyps) elected immediate colonoscopic polypectomy, and 382 (mean age 57.0 years; M:F, 217:165; 481 total polyps) elected CTC surveillance over a mean of 4.7 years. Volumetric polyp growth was analysed, with histopathological correlation for resected polyps. Polyp growth and regression were defined as volume change of ±20% per year, with rapid growth defined as +100% per year (annual volume doubling). Regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of advanced histology, defined as the presence of cancer, high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or villous components.Of the 314 patients who underwent immediate polypectomy, 67.8% (213/314) harboured adenomas, 2.2% (7/314) with advanced histology; no polyps contained cancer or HGD. Of 382 patients who underwent CTC surveillance, 24.9% (95/382) had polyps that grew, while 62.0% (237/382) remained stable and 13.1% (50/382) regressed in size. Of the 58.6% (224/382) CTC surveillance patients who ultimately underwent colonoscopic resection, 87.1% (195/224) harboured adenomas, 12.9% (29/224) with advanced histology. Of CTC surveillance patients with growing polyps who underwent resection, 23.2% (19/82) harboured advanced histology vs 7.0% (10/142) with stable or regressing polyps (OR: 4.0; p<0.001), with even greater risk of advanced histology in those with rapid growth (63.6%, 14/22, OR: 25.4; p<0.001). Polyp growth, but not patient age/sex or polyp morphology/location were significant predictors of advanced histology.Small 6-9 mm polyps present overall low risk to patients, with polyp growth strongly associated with higher risk lesions. Most patients (75%) with small 6-9 mm polyps will see polyp stability or regression, with advanced histology seen in only 7%. The minority of patients (25%) with small polyps that do grow have a 3-fold increased risk of advanced histology.