Predict DLBCL patients' recurrence within two years with Gaussian mixture model cluster oversampling and multi-kernel learning

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is common in adults' non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Relapse mainly occurs within two years after diagnosis and has a poor prognosis. Relapse after two years is less frequent and has a better prognosis. In this work, we constructed a relapse prediction model for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients within two years, expecting to provide a reference for Clinicians to implement individualized treatment.We propose a secondary-level class imbalance method based on Gaussian mixture model (GMM) clustering resampling to balance the data. Then use a multi-kernel support vector machine(SVM) to inscribe heterogeneous clinical data. Finally, merging them to identify recurrence patients within two years.Among all the class imbalance methods in this work, Inverse Weighted -GMM +SMOTEENN has the best performance. Compared with NO-GMM (Directl use the SMOTEENN without the GMM clustering process), its Area Under the ROC Curve(AUC) increases by 8.75%, and ECE and brier scores decrease 2.07% and 3.09%, respectively. Among the four classification algorithms in this work, Multiple kernel learning (MKL) has the most minimized brier scores and expected calibration error(ECE), the largest AUC, accuracy, Recall, precision and F1, has the best discrimination and calibration.Our inverse weighted -GMM+SMOTEENN+MKL (GMM-SENN-MKL) method can handle data class imbalance and clinical heterogeneity data well and can be used to predict recurrence in DLBCL patients.