格兰杰因果关系
无效假设
计量经济学
非参数统计
因果关系(物理学)
一致性(知识库)
空(SQL)
数学
统计假设检验
蒙特卡罗方法
统计
计算机科学
物理
几何学
量子力学
数据库
作者
Cees Diks,Valentyn Panchenko
出处
期刊:Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
[De Gruyter]
日期:2005-01-06
卷期号:9 (2)
被引量:247
标识
DOI:10.2202/1558-3708.1234
摘要
We address a consistency problem in the commonly used nonparametric test for Granger causality developed by Hiemstra and Jones (1994). We show that the relationship tested is not implied by the null hypothesis of Granger non-causality. Monte Carlo simulations using processes satisfying the null hypothesis show that, for a given nominal size, the actual rejection rate may tend to one as the sample size increases. Our results imply that evidence for nonlinear Granger causality reported in the applied empirical literature should be re-interpreted.
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