Elevated GDF-15 is associated with stroke severity, myocardial injury and poor clinical outcome in patients after acute ischemic stroke

Abstract Background GDF-15 is emerging as a biomarker of cardiometabolic risk and disease burden. Increased concentrations of circulating GDF-15 are associated with increased mortality in patients with acute coronary syndromes or heart failure. Purpose We aimed to describe relation between GDF-15 elevation with stroke severity, myocardial injury and poor clinical outcome in patients after acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Methods Patients after AIS were enrolled in our study. Blood samples were obtained from patients at the time of admission, 24 and 48 hours later to determine the plasma levels of GDF-15 and high-sensitive troponin I (hs-cTnI). Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the diagnostic accuracy and optimal elevation cut-off values of GDF-15 on day 1 for the severity of acute stroke defined by NIHSS score. The optimal cut off in our group was 1776 pg/ml (Sensitivity 0,8, Specificity 0,52). Myocardial injury was defined by fourth universal definition of myocardial infarction using hs-cTnI. Demographic characteristics, clinical data, functional outcome, and all-cause mortality at 1 year were compared between groups according to GDF-15 levels. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at the time of admission and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 90 days following the patient’s discharge from the hospital were used to assess stroke severity and clinical outcome. All analyses were performed with SPSS 29.0 (SPSS Inc). Results Between August 2020 and August 2022, 177 patients after AIS were enrolled. Elevated GDF-15 was observed in 71 patients (40,1%). Most common comorbidities included arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia, type 2 DM and atrial fibrillation. In analysis, we observed a connection between elevated GDF-15 with unfavourable outcome evaluated by mRS at 90 days (HR 2.57, 95% CI 1,44 to 4,57, p=0.001) and with all-cause death at 1 year (HR 4.479, 95% CI 1,81 to 11,09, p=0.001). GDF-15 elevation was associated with myocardial injury (Figure 1C). Moreover, individuals with moderate to severe and severe strokes (NIHSS 16-42) displayed higher GDF-15 levels compared to those with minor to moderate stroke (Figure 1D). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve accentuated a significantly elevated all-cause mortality among patients with increased GDF-15 (p < 0.001) (Figure 2). In multivariate regression analysis elevated GDF-15 was associated with atrial fibrillation and high-sensitive troponin I elevation. Conclusion The conclusions drawn suggest that heightened GDF-15 is associated with increased stroke severity, myocardial injury and unfavourable outcome.