Time-Dependent Diffusion MRI Helps Predict Molecular Subtypes and Treatment Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Breast Cancer

Background Time-dependent diffusion MRI has the potential to help characterize tumor cell properties; however, to the knowledge of the authors, its usefulness for breast cancer diagnosis and prognostic evaluation is unknown. Purpose To investigate the clinical value of time-dependent diffusion MRI-based microstructural mapping for noninvasive prediction of molecular subtypes and pathologic complete response (pCR) in participants with breast cancer. Materials and Methods Participants with invasive breast cancer who underwent pretreatment with time-dependent diffusion MRI between February 2021 and May 2023 were prospectively enrolled. Four microstructural parameters were estimated using the IMPULSED method (a form of time-dependent diffusion MRI), along with three apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) measurements and a relative ADC diffusion-weighted imaging parameter. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify parameters associated with each molecular subtype and pCR. A predictive model based on associated parameters was constructed, and its performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared by using the DeLong test. The time-dependent diffusion MRI parameters were validated based on correlation with pathologic measurements. Results The analysis included 408 participants with breast cancer (mean age, 51.9 years ± 9.1 [SD]). Of these, 221 participants were administered neoadjuvant chemotherapy and 54 (24.4%) achieved pCR. The time-dependent diffusion MRI parameters showed reasonable performance in helping to identify luminal A (AUC, 0.70), luminal B (AUC, 0.78), and triple-negative breast cancer (AUC, 0.72) subtypes and high performance for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-enriched breast cancer (AUC, 0.85), outperforming ADC measurements (all P < .05). Progesterone receptor status (odds ratio [OR], 0.08; P = .02), HER2 status (OR, 3.36; P = .009), and the cellularity index (OR, 0.01; P = .02) were independently associated with the odds of achieving pCR. The combined model showed high performance for predicting pCR (AUC, 0.88), outperforming ADC measurements and the clinical-pathologic model (AUC, 0.73 and 0.79, respectively; P < .001). The time-dependent diffusion MRI-estimated parameters correlated well with the pathologic measurements (n = 100; r = 0.67-0.81; P < .001). Conclusion Time-dependent diffusion MRI-based microstructural mapping was an effective method for helping to predict molecular subtypes and pCR to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in participants with breast cancer. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Partridge and Xu in this issue.