Femoral morphology affects postoperative alignment of the lower extremities in hybrid closed-wedge high tibial osteotomy

This study aimed to determine correction error predictors of lower extremitiy alignment after hybrid closed-wedge high tibial osteotomy (HCWHTO). From 2011 to 2015, 102 knees in 75 patients with medial compartment knee osteoarthritis of the knee and varus knee deformities who underwent HCWHTO were evaluated in this retrospective study with a minimum 2-year follow-up. Preoperative radiological parameters including weight-bearing line ratio (WBL ratio), mechanical leg axis angle, mechanical lateral distal femoral angle (mLDFA), medial proximal tibial angle (MPTA), joint line convergence angle (JLCA), and JLCA under varus or valgus stress were measured. The knees were divided into the following three groups based on the WBL ratio on average 54 months after procedure: acceptable (WBL crossing the tibial plateau between 50 and 70%), under-correction (  70%). A multiple regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors that could influence postoperative WBL ratio and cut-off values of predictive preoperative factors was analysed. Significant differences in pre- and postoperative WBL ratios and mechanical leg axis angles were found. Preoperative mLDFA in the under-correction group (89.4° ± 2.1°) was significantly higher than that in the overcorrection group (87.4° ± 2.2°) (p = 0.015), while other preoperative parameters revealed no significant differences. The postoperative MPTA in the under-correction group (92.1° ± 3.7°) was significantly lower than that in the other two groups (p = 0.005 and p = 0.0001, respectively), while there was no significant change between the acceptable (94.6° ± 3.4°) and the overcorrection (96.7° ± 3.2°) groups. Multiple regression analysis revealed that mLDFA (β =  − 0.316; p = 0.010) had a significant impact on postoperative WBLR. The cut-off value for under-correction of mLDFA was 89.5°and sensitivity and specificity were 53.6 and 71.6%, respectively (p = 0.014). Preoperative mLDFA is significantly associated with postoperative alignment in HCWHTO. While postoperative MPTA is important, disregarding the preoperative mLDFA may bears a high risk of malcorrection. Varus alignment of the knee with larger mLDFA may be an indication for not only HCWHTO, but also for distal femoral osteotomy.