Review of load forecasting based on artificial intelligence methodologies, models, and challenges

计算机科学 概率预测 人工智能 机器学习 时间序列 技术预测 人工神经网络 需求预测 模糊逻辑 运筹学 工程类 概率逻辑
作者
Hui Hou,Chao Liu,Qing Wang,Xixiu Wu,Jinrui Tang,Ying Shi,Changjun Xie
出处
期刊:Electric Power Systems Research [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:210: 108067-108067 被引量:49
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.epsr.2022.108067
摘要

Accurate load forecasting can efficiently reduce the day-ahead dispatch stress of power system or microgrid. The overview of load forecasting based on artificial intelligence models are comprehensively summarized in this paper. As the steps of load forecasting based on artificial intelligence model mainly include data processing, setting up forecasting strategy and model forecasting, the paper firstly reviewed the data processing studies. According to the kinds of data obtained, the data can be classified into two categories: multivariate time series and single variate time series. Secondly the forecasting methodologies including one-step forecasting and rolling forecasting are summarized and compared. In addition, according to the form of the prediction results, point prediction, interval prediction and probability prediction are summarized. Thirdly, the paper reviews the artificial intelligence models used in load forecasting. In light of the application scenarios, it can be classified into single model and combination model. Finally, we also discussed the future trend for the research, such as fuzzy reasoning, intelligent optimization in forecasting, novel machine learning and transfer learning technologies, etc.
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