Hybrid random aggregation model and Bayesian optimization‐based convolutional neural network for estimating the concrete compressive strength

Abstract Numerous experimental studies have shown the type and gradation of coarse aggregates effect on the mechanical properties of concrete. The type and gradation of coarse aggregates have not been taken into account in the available machine learning prediction models. In this study, a two‐dimensional concrete microscopic image was generated by using a random aggregate model (RAM), and the coarse aggregate and other concrete ingredients were represented innovatively using polygons and trichromatic chromaticity values in the RAM images. The RAM image set was created by applying this method to represent 1110 sets of different concrete mixes. Then based on the Bayesian optimization algorithm and the image set, a compressive strength prediction model considering the effect of coarse aggregate types and gradations was developed utilizing a convolutional neural network (CNN) model. Meanwhile, an artificial neural network (ANN) compressive strength prediction model was developed using 1110 sets of mix ratio data. The results show that the proposed RAM image generation method has the capability to represent different concrete mix ratios collected in this study. The prediction performance of the CNN compressive strength model considering aggregate types and gradations is better than that of the ANN model. The method can provide a new perspective for predicting other concrete mechanical properties and technically support performance‐based intelligent concrete mix design.