经济
经济停滞
技术变革
人口变化
人口转变
生育率
人均
一般均衡理论
人口老龄化
人口增长
劳动经济学
人口经济学
人口
人均收入
宏观经济学
社会学
人口学
政治
法学
政治学
作者
Henrique S. Basso,Juan F. Jimeno
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.06.004
摘要
Demographic change and automation are two major structural trends that will shape the macroeconomy in the coming decades. We present a general equilibrium model with a tractable lifecycle structure that enables investigation of the main transmission mechanisms through which demography and technology affect economic growth. Owing to a trade-off between innovation and automation, lower fertility and population ageing lead to reductions in GDP per capita growth and the labour income share. During the demographic transition, the extent growth and factor shares are affected depends on alternative labour market configurations and scenarios for the integration of robots into economic activity.
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