Preoperative detection of extraprostatic tumor extension in patients with primary prostate cancer utilizing [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/MRI

Abstract Objectives Radical prostatectomy (RP) is a common intervention in patients with localized prostate cancer (PCa), with nerve-sparing RP recommended to reduce adverse effects on patient quality of life. Accurate pre-operative detection of extraprostatic extension (EPE) remains challenging, often leading to the application of suboptimal treatment. The aim of this study was to enhance pre-operative EPE detection through multimodal data integration using explainable machine learning (ML). Methods Patients with newly diagnosed PCa who underwent [ 68 Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/MRI and subsequent RP were recruited retrospectively from two time ranges for training, cross-validation, and independent validation. The presence of EPE was measured from post-surgical histopathology and predicted using ML and pre-operative parameters, including PET/MRI-derived features, blood-based markers, histology-derived parameters, and demographic parameters. ML models were subsequently compared with conventional PET/MRI-based image readings. Results The study involved 107 patients, 59 (55%) of whom were affected by EPE according to postoperative findings for the initial training and cross-validation. The ML models demonstrated superior diagnostic performance over conventional PET/MRI image readings, with the explainable boosting machine model achieving an AUC of 0.88 (95% CI 0.87–0.89) during cross-validation and an AUC of 0.88 (95% CI 0.75–0.97) during independent validation. The ML approach integrating invasive features demonstrated better predictive capabilities for EPE compared to visual clinical read-outs (Cross-validation AUC 0.88 versus 0.71, p = 0.02). Conclusion ML based on routinely acquired clinical data can significantly improve the pre-operative detection of EPE in PCa patients, potentially enabling more accurate clinical staging and decision-making, thereby improving patient outcomes. Critical relevance statement This study demonstrates that integrating multimodal data with machine learning significantly improves the pre-operative detection of extraprostatic extension in prostate cancer patients, outperforming conventional imaging methods and potentially leading to more accurate clinical staging and better treatment decisions. Key Points Extraprostatic extension is an important indicator guiding treatment approaches. Current assessment of extraprostatic extension is difficult and lacks accuracy. Machine learning improves detection of extraprostatic extension using PSMA-PET/MRI and histopathology. Graphical Abstract