Deep learning prediction of motor performance in stroke individuals using neuroimaging data

The degree of motor impairment and profile of recovery after stroke are difficult to predict for each individual. Measures obtained from clinical assessments, as well as neurophysiological and neuroimaging techniques have been used as potential biomarkers of motor recovery, with limited accuracy up to date. To address this, the present study aimed to develop a deep learning model based on structural brain images obtained from stroke participants and healthy volunteers. The following inputs were used in a multi-channel 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) model: fractional anisotropy, mean diffusivity, radial diffusivity, and axial diffusivity maps obtained from Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI) images, white and gray matter intensity values obtained from Magnetic Resonance Imaging, as well as demographic data (e.g., age, gender). Upper limb motor function was classified into "Poor" and "Good" categories. To assess the performance of the DL model, we compared it to more standard machine learning (ML) classifiers including k-nearest neighbor, support vector machines (SVM), Decision Trees, Random Forests, Ada Boosting, and Naïve Bayes, whereby the inputs of these classifiers were the features taken from the fully connected layer of the CNN model. The highest accuracy and area under the curve values were 0.92 and 0.92 for the 3D-CNN and 0.91 and 0.91 for the SVM, respectively. The multi-channel 3D-CNN with residual blocks and SVM supported by DL was more accurate than traditional ML methods to classify upper limb motor impairment in the stroke population. These results suggest that combining volumetric DTI maps and measures of white and gray matter integrity can improve the prediction of the degree of motor impairment after stroke. Identifying the potential of recovery early on after a stroke could promote the allocation of resources to optimize the functional independence of these individuals and their quality of life.