Epidemiology and outcomes of older trauma patients in Singapore: a multicentre study

Abstract

Background

An ageing population has caused rising trauma cases among older patients. Multiple comorbidities, polypharmacy and limited reserves predispose them to poorer outcomes following a traumatic event. The Comorbidity Polypharmacy Score (CPS) has been found to predict outcomes and mortality in older trauma patients, but has not been studied in Asians.

Aim

We aim to describe the epidemiological characteristics of older trauma patients and explore the association of CPS on clinical outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective observational study using data from the trauma registries of 2 tertiary trauma centres. Patients aged 45 years and above attending the emergency departments (EDs) from January 2011 to December 2015 with traumatic injuries (Injury Severity Score [ISS] of 9 and above) were included. Demographics, clinical data including number of comorbidities and medications used were collected to calculate the CPS. Outcomes of mortality, ED disposition and hospital discharge venue were examined.

Results

There were 4,522 patients (median age 70 years; males 53.8%), with majority sustaining Tier 2 injuries (ISS 9 to 15; 68.9%). Falls were the predominant mechanism for those aged above 60 years and above (76%). Median CPS was 6 (interquartile range [IQR] 1 to 11). Among patients 75 years and older, 56% comprised the moderate to morbid CPS groups (CPS ≥ 8). Overall mortality was 8.4%; patients above 75 years had longer median length of stay (10 versus 7.1-8.9 days in other ages). Male gender (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-2.02), increasing age (aOR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.05), injury to abdomen (aOR 3.24; 95% CI 1.93-5.45) and severe CPS category (aOR 1.88; 95% CI 1.23-2.89) were associated with increased odds of death. Increasing age and moderate CPS category increased odds of discharge to a rehabilitation (aOR for age 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.04; aOR for moderate CPS 1.72, 95% CI 1.43-2.07) or long-term care facility (aOR for age 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.06; aOR for CPS 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.32).

Conclusion

CPS predicted mortality and discharge to a rehabilitation or care facility in this urban, ageing Asian population. Its use may aid future trauma research and needs assessments in such patients.