Cone-beam computed-tomography-based delta-radiomic analysis for investigating prognostic power for esophageal squamous cell cancer patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy

PurposeTo investigate the prognostic power of cone-beam computed-tomography (CBCT)-based delta-radiomics in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).MethodsWe collected data from 26 ESCC patients treated with CCRT. CBCT images acquired at five time points (1st–5th week) per patient during CCRT were used in this study. Radiomic features were extracted from the five CBCT images on the gross tumor volumes. Then, 17 delta-radiomic feature sets derived from five types of calculations were obtained for all the cases. Leave-one-out cross-validation was applied to investigate the prognostic power of CBCT-based delta-radiomic features. Feature selection and construction of a prediction model using Coxnet were performed using training samples. Then, the test sample was classified into high or low risk in each cross-validation fold. Survival analysis for the two groups were performed to evaluate the prognostic power of the extracted CBCT-based delta-radiomic features.ResultsFour delta-radiomic feature sets indicated significant differences between the high- and low-risk groups (p < 0.05). The highest C-index in the 17 delta-radiomic feature sets was 0.821 (95 % confidence interval, 0.735–0.907). That feature set had p-value of the log-rank test and hazard ratio of 0.003 and 4.940 (95 % confidence interval, 1.391–17.544), respectively.ConclusionsWe investigated the potential of using CBCT-based delta-radiomics for prognosis of ESCC patients treated with CCRT. It was demonstrated that delta-radiomic feature sets based on the absolute value of relative difference obtained from the early to the middle treatment stages have high prognostic power for ESCC.