Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage after stroke thrombolysis: The SEDAN Score

医学 溶栓 接收机工作特性 队列 逻辑回归 冲程(发动机) 内科学 脑出血 曲线下面积 弗雷明翰风险评分 蛛网膜下腔出血 心肌梗塞 机械工程 疾病 工程类
作者
Daniel Strbian,Stefan T. Engelter,Patrik Michel,Atte Meretoja,Lučka Šekoranja,F. Ahlhelm,Satu Mustanoja,Igor Kuzmanović,Tiina Sairanen,Nina Forss,Maria Cordier,Philippe Lyrer,Markku Kaste,Turgut Tatlisumak
出处
期刊:Annals of Neurology [Wiley]
卷期号:71 (5): 634-641 被引量:279
标识
DOI:10.1002/ana.23546
摘要

Abstract Objective: A study was undertaken to develop a score for assessing risk for symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) in ischemic stroke patients treated with intravenous (IV) thrombolysis. Methods: The derivation cohort comprised 974 ischemic stroke patients treated (1995–2008) with IV thrombolysis at the Helsinki University Central Hospital. The predictive value of parameters associated with sICH (European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study II) was evaluated, and we developed our score according to the magnitude of logistic regression coefficients. We calculated absolute risks and likelihood ratios of sICH per increasing score points. The score was validated in 828 patients from 3 Swiss cohorts (Lausanne, Basel, and Geneva). Performance of the score was tested with area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC‐ROC). Results: Our SEDAN score (0 to 6 points) comprises baseline blood S ugar (glucose; 8.1–12.0mmol/l [145–216mg/dl] = 1; >12.0mmol/l [>216 mg/dl] = 2), E arly infarct signs (yes = 1) and (hyper) D ense cerebral artery sign (yes = 1) on admission computed tomography scan, A ge (>75 years = 1), and NIH Stroke Scale on admission (≥10 = 1). Absolute risk for sICH in the derivation cohort was: 1.4%, 2.9%, 8.5%, 12.2%, 21.7%, and 33.3% for 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 score points, respectively. In the validation cohort, absolute risks were similar (1.0%, 3.5%, 5.1%, 9.2%, 16.9%, and 27.8%, respectively). AUC‐ROC was 0.77 (0.71–0.83; p < 0.001). Interpretation: Our SEDAN score reliably assessed risk for sICH in IV thrombolysis‐treated patients with anterior‐ and posterior circulation ischemic stroke, and it can support clinical decision making in high‐risk patients. External validation of the score supports its generalization. ANN NEUROL 2012;
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