VHXLA: A post-earthquake damage prediction method for high-speed railway track-bridge system using VMD and hybrid neural network

The timely and accurate prediction of post-earthquake damage is critically important for ensuring the safety of high-speed railway track-bridge systems. The study introduces a novel method known as the VHXLA model. This innovative model blends variational mode decomposition (VMD) with a hybrid neural network for predicting non-linear multi-component post-earthquake damage in high-speed railways. The VHXLA model comprises a signal processing module and a deep learning module. The signal processing module utilises VMD decomposition, and the Hilbert transform (HT) to transform two-dimensional seismic signals into four-dimensional complex time–frequency signals, thus simplifying the task of identifying seismic time–frequency characteristics via the neural network. The deep learning module integrates diverse types of neural network components, such as the Xception CNN feature extraction submodule, the LSTM RNN temporal learning submodule, and the multi-head attention mechanism submodule. A Bayesian self-optimisation method is implemented to determine the number of decomposition layers in VMD and select essential hyperparameters. The model's effectiveness is evaluated by predicting the damage of an experimentally validated finite element model, subjecting it to seismic loads, and thus gauging its performance. The results indicated that the signal processing module, based on VMD decomposition, significantly improves the neural network's signal processing capability. In addition, the synergistic integration of different modules in the VHXLA model provides superior prediction accuracy compared to pre-existing damage prediction models. Notably, the prediction accuracy is consistent across different positions of the same predicted component in the high-speed railway track-bridge system.