Artificial Intelligence Predicts Hospitalization for Acute Heart Failure Exacerbation in Patients Undergoing Myocardial Perfusion Imaging

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States and worldwide, with a high associated economic burden. This study aimed to assess whether artificial intelligence models incorporating clinical, stress test, and imaging parameters could predict hospitalization for acute HF exacerbation in patients undergoing SPECT/CT myocardial perfusion imaging. Methods: The HF risk prediction model was developed using data from 4,766 patients who underwent SPECT/CT at a single center (internal cohort). The algorithm used clinical risk factors, stress variables, SPECT imaging parameters, and fully automated deep learning–generated calcium scores from attenuation CT scans. The model was trained and validated using repeated hold-out (10-fold cross-validation). External validation was conducted on a separate cohort of 2,912 patients. During a median follow-up of 1.9 y, 297 patients (6%) in the internal cohort were admitted for HF exacerbation. Results: The final model demonstrated a higher area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (0.87 ± 0.03) for predicting HF admissions than did stress left ventricular ejection fraction (0.73 ± 0.05, P < 0.0001) or a model developed using only clinical parameters (0.81 ± 0.04, P < 0.0001). These findings were confirmed in the external validation cohort (area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve: 0.80 ± 0.04 for final model, 0.70 ± 0.06 for stress left ventricular ejection fraction, 0.72 ± 0.05 for clinical model; P < 0.001 for all). Conclusion: Integrating SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging into an artificial intelligence–based risk assessment algorithm improves the prediction of HF hospitalization. The proposed method could enable early interventions to prevent HF hospitalizations, leading to improved patient care and better outcomes.