The Influence of Subclinical Active Inflammation on IFX Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Disease Progression Assessment: Findings from a Prospective Real-World Study in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients

Abstract Background and aims Effective management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) relies on a comprehensive understanding of infliximab (IFX) pharmacokinetics (PK). This study’s primary goal was to develop a robust PK model, identifying key covariates influencing IFX clearance (CL), while concurrently evaluating the risk of disease progression during the maintenance phase of IBD treatment. Methods The multicenter, prospective, real-world DIRECT study was conducted in several care centers, which included 369 IBD patients in the maintenance phase of IFX therapy. A two-compartment population PK model was used to determine IFX CL and covariates. Logistic and Cox regressions were applied to elucidate the associations between disease progression and covariates embedded in the PK model. Results The PK model included the contributions of weight, albumin, antidrug antibody (ADA), and fecal calprotectin (FC). On average, higher ADA, FC concentration and weight, and lower albumin concentration resulted in higher IFX CL. In the multivariate regression analyses, FC levels influenced the odds of disease progression in the majority of its definitions, when adjusted for several confounding factors. Additionally, alongside FC, both IFX and CL demonstrated a significant impact on the temporal aspect of disease progression. Conclusion In this 2-year real-world study, readily available clinical covariates, notably FC, significantly impacted IFX availability in IBD patients. We demonstrated that subclinical active inflammation, as mirrored by FC or CRP, substantially influenced IFX clearance. Importantly, FC emerged as a pivotal determinant, not only of IFX pharmacokinetics but also of disease progression. These findings underscore the need to integrate FC into forthcoming IFX pharmacokinetic models, amplifying its clinical significance.