Early PSA response is an independent prognostic factor in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer treated with next-generation androgen pathway inhibitors

Background The optimal use of new therapies in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) remains to be clarified. Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response used as a pharmacodynamic end-point may help identify patients with early resistance to new androgen receptor-pathway inhibitors. We aimed to determine the clinical significance of early PSA response (EPR) during therapy with enzalutamide, abiraterone acetate (AA) and orteronel in mCRPC. Methods Data from patients recruited in clinical trials were studied. PSA values were obtained at baseline and 28 d after treatment initiation. EPR defined as a decline >50% from baseline was calculated according to the Prostate Cancer Working Group 2 criteria. The effects of clinical characteristics on radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined using the Cox model. Results EPR was assessed in 118 patients treated in clinical trials and was found to be associated with longer rPFS and OS (P < 0.0001 for both). Median rPFS was 13.9 and 5.6 months (hazard ratio [HR]:0.38, P < 0.001) for patients with and without an EPR, respectively. Median OS was 32.2 months in patients with an EPR and 15.9 months in patients without an EPR (HR: 0.4, P < 0.01). EPR remained prognostic for OS in multivariate analyses (HR: 0.5, p=0.009) that included validated pre-therapeutic prognostic factors for mCRPC. Prognostic values of EPR for rPFS and OS were confirmed in an independent cohort of 95 AA-treated non-trial patients. Conclusions EPR is an independent prognostic factor in patients with mCRPC treated with next-generation androgen pathway inhibitors and may be useful for the therapeutic management of these patients.