Short-term association among meteorological variation, outdoor air pollution and acute bronchiolitis in children in a subtropical setting

毛细支气管炎 医学 泊松回归 百分位 空气污染 相对风险 空气污染物 混淆 环境卫生 置信区间 人口学 儿科 呼吸系统 人口 内科学 统计 社会学 有机化学 化学 数学
作者
Shuk Yu Leung,Steven Yuk Fai Lau,Ka Li Kwok,Kirran N. Mohammad,Paul K.S. Chan,Ka Chun Chong
出处
期刊:Thorax [BMJ]
卷期号:76 (4): 360-369 被引量:34
标识
DOI:10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-215488
摘要

Objectives To examine the association among acute bronchiolitis-related hospitalisation in children, meteorological variation and outdoor air pollution. Methods We obtained the daily counts of acute bronchiolitis-related admission of children≤2 years old from all public hospitals, meteorological data and outdoor air pollutants’ concentrations between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2017 in Hong Kong. We used quasi-Poisson generalised additive models together with distributed lag non-linear models to estimate the associations of interest adjusted for confounders. Results A total of 29 688 admissions were included in the analysis. Increased adjusted relative risk (ARR) of acute bronchiolitis-related hospitalisation was associated with high temperature (ambient temperature and apparent temperature) and was marginally associated with high vapour pressure, a proxy for absolute humidity. High concentration of NO 2 was associated with elevated risk of acute bronchiolitis admission; the risk of bronchiolitis hospitalisation increased statistically significantly with cumulative NO 2 exposure over the range 66.2–119.6 µg/m 3 . For PM 10 , the significant effect observed at high concentrations appears to be immediate but not long lasting. For SO 2 , ARR increased as the concentration approached the 75th percentile and then decreased though the association was insignificant. Conclusions Acute bronchiolitis-related hospitalisation among children was associated with temperature and exposure to NO 2 and PM 10 at different lag times, suggesting a need to adopt sustainable clean air policies, especially to target pollutants produced by motor vehicles, to protect young children’s health.
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