Structured Early detection of Asymptomatic Liver Cirrhosis: Results of the population-based liver screening program SEAL

•The detection of patients with early cirrhosis is important to improve prognosis. •The SEAL algorithm evaluates the utility of population-based screening to detect cirrhosis as early as possible. •Excluding patients with decompensated cirrhosis at initial diagnosis, SEAL was associated with a 60% higher chance of early cirrhosis detection. •Only 50% of the patients identified by SEAL in primary care utilized specialist assessment. Background & Aims Detection of patients with early cirrhosis is of importance to prevent the occurrence of complications and improve prognosis. The SEAL program aimed at evaluating the usefulness of a structured screening procedure to detect cirrhosis as early as possible. Methods SEAL was a prospective cohort study with a control cohort from routine care data. Individuals participating in the general German health check-up after the age of 35 ("Check-up 35") at their primary care physicians were offered a questionnaire, liver function tests (aspartate and alanine aminotransferase [AST and ALT]), and follow-up. If AST/ALT levels were elevated, the AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score was calculated, and patients with a score >0.5 were referred to a liver expert in secondary and/or tertiary care. Results A total of 11,859 participants were enrolled and available for final analysis. The control group comprised 349,570 participants of the regular Check-up 35. SEAL detected 488 individuals with elevated APRI scores (4.12%) and 45 incident cases of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. The standardized incidence of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in the screening program was slightly higher than in controls (3.83‰ vs. 3.36‰). The comparison of the chance of fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnosis in SEAL vs. in standard care was inconclusive (marginal odds ratio 1.141, one-sided 95% CI 0.801, +Inf). Of note, when patients with decompensated cirrhosis at initial diagnosis were excluded from both cohorts in a post hoc analysis, SEAL was associated with a 59% higher chance of early cirrhosis detection on average than routine care (marginal odds ratio 1.590, one-sided 95% CI 1.080, +Inf; SEAL 3.51‰, controls: 2.21‰). Conclusions The implementation of a structured screening program may increase the early detection rate of cirrhosis in the general population. In this context, the SEAL pathway represents a feasible and potentially cost-effective screening program. Registration DRKS00013460 Lay summary Detection of patients with early liver cirrhosis is of importance to prevent the occurrence of complications and improve prognosis. This study demonstrates that the implementation of a structured screening program using easily obtainable measures of liver function may increase the early detection rate of cirrhosis in the general population. In this context, the 'SEAL' pathway represents a feasible and potentially cost-effective screening program. Detection of patients with early cirrhosis is of importance to prevent the occurrence of complications and improve prognosis. The SEAL program aimed at evaluating the usefulness of a structured screening procedure to detect cirrhosis as early as possible. SEAL was a prospective cohort study with a control cohort from routine care data. Individuals participating in the general German health check-up after the age of 35 ("Check-up 35") at their primary care physicians were offered a questionnaire, liver function tests (aspartate and alanine aminotransferase [AST and ALT]), and follow-up. If AST/ALT levels were elevated, the AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score was calculated, and patients with a score >0.5 were referred to a liver expert in secondary and/or tertiary care. A total of 11,859 participants were enrolled and available for final analysis. The control group comprised 349,570 participants of the regular Check-up 35. SEAL detected 488 individuals with elevated APRI scores (4.12%) and 45 incident cases of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. The standardized incidence of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in the screening program was slightly higher than in controls (3.83‰ vs. 3.36‰). The comparison of the chance of fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnosis in SEAL vs. in standard care was inconclusive (marginal odds ratio 1.141, one-sided 95% CI 0.801, +Inf). Of note, when patients with decompensated cirrhosis at initial diagnosis were excluded from both cohorts in a post hoc analysis, SEAL was associated with a 59% higher chance of early cirrhosis detection on average than routine care (marginal odds ratio 1.590, one-sided 95% CI 1.080, +Inf; SEAL 3.51‰, controls: 2.21‰). The implementation of a structured screening program may increase the early detection rate of cirrhosis in the general population. In this context, the SEAL pathway represents a feasible and potentially cost-effective screening program.