Spatiotemporal Variations of Vegetation NPP Based on GF-SG and kNDVI and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities: A Case Study of the Zoigê Plateau

Net primary productivity (NPP) is a key metric for evaluating ecosystem carbon sink capacity and defining vegetation. Despite extensive research on vegetation NPP, much relies on coarse spatial resolution data, which often overlooks regional spatial heterogeneity, causing inaccuracies in NPP estimates. Therefore, this study employed the improved CASA model, based on GF-SG and kNDVI methods, to estimate vegetation NPP at a 30 m spatial resolution on the Zoigê Plateau from 2001 to 2020. The effects of anthropogenic and climatic factors on NPP were quantified through residual and partial correlation analyses. These results indicated the following: (1) NDVI derived from the GF-SG fusion method aligns closely with Landsat NDVI (R2 ≈ 0.9). When contrasted with using NDVI alone, incorporating kNDVI into the CASA model enhances NPP assessment accuracy. (2) Vegetation NPP on the Zoigê Plateau has fluctuated upward by 2.09 gC·m−2·a−1 over the last two decades, with higher values centrally and lower at the edges. (3) Monthly partial correlation analysis indicates almost no temporal effects in NPP response to temperature (97.42%) but significant cumulative effects in response to precipitation (80.3%), with longer accumulation periods in the south. Annual analysis reveals that NPP correlates more strongly with temperature than precipitation. (4) NPP changes are jointly influenced by climate change (48.46%) and human activities (51.54%), with the latter being the dominant factor. This study deepens the understanding of NPP dynamics in the Zoigê Plateau and offers insights for estimating NPP at high spatial-temporal resolutions.