Impact of digital finance on energy-based carbon intensity: Evidence from mediating effects perspective

This research measures energy-based carbon intensity based on energy consumption of 30 Chinese provinces and investigates the impact of digital finance. First, the baseline results were examined through panel data model. Second, we reveal the “black box” system of digital finance and energy-based carbon intensity through mediating effects model. Third, by employed panel quantile regression model, we examine the heterogeneity of the effects of various factors under different carbon intensity quantile. The main quantitative results are as follows: (1) Digital finance shows significant sustainable effect, and its growth of 1% will reduce the carbon intensity by about 0.092%. (2) The intermediary effects of technological innovation and energy structure are −0.0663 and 0.007, respectively, accounting for 41.88% and 19.36% of the total effects. Both are significant transmission mechanisms. (3) When the carbon intensity in >0.9 quantile, digital finance shows a positive coefficient. On the contrary, the coefficient at <0.75 quantile is negative and its absolute value increases with the decrease of quantile. It shows that with the reduction of carbon intensity, the positive impact of digital finance gradually increases. (4) In the eastern, central and western regions, a 1% increase in digital finance will reduce the carbon intensity by 0.147%, 0.096% and 0.089% respectively. This research provides a reference for regional governments to use digital finance tools to promote sustainable development.