A novel approach to improve population mapping considering facility-based service capacity and land livability

Social sensing data, including points-of-interest (POI) and mobile position, are important data sources for population mapping. However, existing studies using POI data disregard the heterogeneity in facility size among the same type of POI and urban–rural differences. Moreover, mobile position data face biased issues. This study presents a hybrid model that considers facility-based service capacity (FSC) and land livability to map fine-scale population distributions. Based on extracting the FSC index by integrating POI, mobile phone positioning (MPP), and road network data, the district-level census population was disaggregated into 100-m grids using a random forest model. Subsequently, a regression equation was developed from the land use data to correct the estimated residuals. The results showed that the hybrid model exhibited considerably smaller errors than those of the POI density-based method and direct mapping of MPP (RMSE = 5,393.31, 7,348.91, and 7,824.76, respectively), effectively reducing population misallocation in extreme-density regions. Compared to WorldPop and LandScan datasets and a comparative model, our method reduced the RMSE by 30–60%, proving the effectiveness of integrating various social sensing and remote sensing data for improving population mapping. This study improves on an existing method as a thought-provoking step toward advancement in fine-scale population mapping research.