Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, C-reactive protein, and lipoprotein(a) universal one-time screening in primary prevention: the EPIC-Norfolk study.

Recent data from a large American cohort of women strongly support universal one-time screening for LDL cholesterol, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] in primary prevention. This study addresses the validity and generalizability of this novel primary prevention strategy in a large prospective European cohort of initially healthy men and women. Plasma levels of LDL cholesterol, hsCRP, and Lp(a) were measured at study entry in 17 087 participants from the EPIC-Norfolk study who were subsequently followed over a period of 20 years for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Competing risk- and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident MACE across quintiles of each biomarker and sought evidence of independent as well as additive effects over time were calculated. During the 20-year follow-up, a total of 3249 MACEs occurred. Increasing quintiles of baseline LDL cholesterol, hsCRP, and Lp(a) all predicted 20-year risks; the multivariable-adjusted HRs in a comparison of the top to bottom quintile were 1.78 (95% CI: 1.57-2.00) for LDL cholesterol, 1.55 (95% CI: 1.37-1.74) for hsCRP, and 1.19 (95% CI: 1.07-1.33) for Lp(a). Compared with individuals with no biomarker elevations, the multivariable-adjusted HRs for incident MACE were 1.33, 1.68, and 2.41 for those with one, two, or three biomarkers in the top quintile, respectively (all P < .001). Each biomarker demonstrated independent contributions to overall risk and findings were consistent in analyses stratified by sex. A single combined measure of LDL cholesterol, hsCRP, and Lp(a) among initially healthy European men and women was predictive of incident MACE during a 20-year period. These data replicate findings from a recent American cohort and strongly support universal screening for all three biomarkers in primary prevention.