Spatial Differentiation and Driving Mechanisms in Ecosystem Service Value of Arid Region：A case study in the middle and lower reaches of Shule River Basin, NW China

The determination of spatiotemporal variation in ecosystem service value and its drivers is fundamental to ecosystem service management and decision-making. This paper selects a typical oasis irrigation district in the arid regions of northwest China as the research object. Using the benefit transfer method to evaluate the ecosystem service value variation caused by land use and land cover change and characteristics of its spatial distribution based on multi-temporal land use and land cover data sets (1977, 1987, 1997, 2007, 2017). Meanwhile, the contributions of factors driving ecosystem service value and their interactions were explored using geographical detector. The results showed the following: 1) The land use and land cover structure was stable from 1977 to 2017, and the overall ecosystem service value increased slightly. The services provided by the oasis ecosystem dominated the fluctuations in ecosystem service value throughout the study region. 2) Ecosystem service value exhibited a strong positive spatial autocorrelation. The high values were concentrated in the oasis area in the north of the study area, while the low values mainly appeared in the desert ecosystem. 3) The land use degree and human activity intensity index of human factors are the main factors leading to the differentiation of ecosystem service value. Synergized interactions among human activities, changes in landscape patterns, and natural factors produced the spatial differentiation in ecosystem service value of the study region. The results suggest that in future decision-making for ecosystem management, the direction of human activities within the ecological environment should be controlled. Improve the diversity of patches, reduce the degree of landscape fragmentation, improve the ecosystem service function of LULC, optimize the allocation of ecological landscape resources.