Malignancy risk stratification and FNA recommendations for thyroid nodules: A comparison of ACR TI-RADS, AACE/ACE/AME and ATA guidelines

Abstract Objective To compare diagnostic performance and malignancy risk stratification among guidelines set forth by the American Thyroid Association (ATA) in 2015, the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists (AACE), the American College of Endocrinology (ACE) and the Association Medici Endocrinologi (AME) in 2016, and the American College of Radiology (ACR) in 2017. Methods The retrospective study was approved by the hospital ethics committee, and the informed consent requirement was waived. From October 2015 to March 2016, a total of 230 patients with 230 consecutive thyroid nodules were enrolled in this study. Each nodule was classified by one junior and one senior radiologist separately according to ACR TI-RADS, AACE/ACE/AME and ATA guidelines. The malignancy diagnostic performance and the number of FNA recommendations were pairwise compared among three guidelines using chi-square tests. Results Of the 230 thyroid nodules, 137 were malignant, and 93 were benign. However, 19.6% of the nodules (45 of 230) did not match any pattern using the ATA guidelines but with a high risk of malignancy (68.9%). The ACR TI-RADS derived the highest diagnostic performance, from both junior radiologist (AUC 0.815) and senior radiologist (AUC 0.864). The ACR guidelines also showed the greatest level of sensitivity (junior: 86.1%, senior: 94.9%), compared with AACE/ACE/AME and ATA guidelines. The number of thyroid nodules recommended to fine-needle aspiration (FNA) was the lowest (37.8%, 40.4%) by ACR TI-RADS, and meanwhile, the malignant detection rate within these nodules was highest (64.4%, 68.8%). Conclusions The ACR guidelines present a higher level of diagnostic indicators and may offer a meaningful reduction in FNA recommendations with a higher malignancy detection rate.