Matrix metalloproteinase 9 expression and glioblastoma survival prediction using machine learning on digital pathological images

Abstract This study aimed to apply pathomics to predict Matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP9) expression in glioblastoma (GBM) and investigate the underlying molecular mechanisms associated with pathomics. Here, we included 127 GBM patients, 78 of whom were randomly allocated to the training and test cohorts for pathomics modeling. The prognostic significance of MMP9 was assessed using Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression analyses. PyRadiomics was used to extract the features of H&E-stained whole slide images. Feature selection was performed using the maximum relevance and minimum redundancy (mRMR) and recursive feature elimination (RFE) algorithms. Prediction models were created using support vector machines (SVM) and logistic regression (LR). The performance was assessed using ROC analysis, calibration curve assessment, and decision curve analysis. MMP9 expression was elevated in patients with GBM. This was an independent prognostic factor for GBM. Six features were selected for the pathomics model. The area under the curves (AUCs) of the training and test subsets were 0.828 and 0.808, respectively, for the SVM model and 0.778 and 0.754, respectively, for the LR model. The C-index and calibration plots exhibited effective estimation abilities. The pathomics score calculated using the SVM model was highly correlated with overall survival time. These findings indicate that MMP9 plays a crucial role in GBM development and prognosis. Our pathomics model demonstrated high efficacy for predicting MMP9 expression levels and prognosis of patients with GBM.