CVAR公司
衡平法
环境经济学
预期短缺
区间(图论)
计算机科学
运筹学
环境科学
风险管理
经济
工程类
数学
政治学
组合数学
管理
法学
作者
Faqiang Wang,Xiang Fu,Shuangjun Liu
标识
DOI:10.1111/1752-1688.13168
摘要
Abstract This paper proposes a modified conditional value‐at‐risk interval two‐stage stochastic programming coordination model (MCITSP) for water allocation and illustrates its advantages in risk aversion and pollution control. We analyze its performance in maintaining the equity of water use in various sectors, which is specifically reflected in the water satisfaction of multiple users. In this paper, the MCITSP model and original ITSP model are applied to the case of the Hanjiang River Basin, and three scenarios of water availability are set up to provide theoretical support for water allocation. Our results show that the MCITSP model with a higher risk coefficient has a stronger ability to avoid risks. The MCITSP model simultaneously controls pollutant discharge and guarantees economic benefits, making it superior to the ITSP model under different scenarios. Water shortages primarily affect the agricultural sector, due to its high water demand and low economic value, and the MCITSP model plays a positive role in maintaining equity and coordinating water conflicts among multiple users. Managers can choose appropriate model parameters according to their preferences to formulate more reasonable decisions.
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