Clinical outcomes of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma stratified by human papillomavirus subtype: A systematic review and meta-analysis

We aim to determine if there is a survival difference between patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 versus HPV-non16 subtypes.Databases were queried for full length, peer-reviewed, English language, articles published between 01/01/1980 and 06/08/2022. Studies reporting clinical outcomes of OPSCC associated with HPV16 and HPV-non16 subtypes with at least 10 patients were included. Primary outcome was the overall survival (OS) of patients with HPV16- versus HPV-non16-associated OPSCC. Secondary outcomes were recurrence-free survival (RFS) and pooled rate of p16 positivity by immunohistochemistry (IHC).A total of 9 studies met inclusion criteria and included 1,310 patients with HPV16 and 219 with HPV-non16 subtypes of OPSCC. The prevalence of HPV-non16 was 14.3 %. The pooled 5-year OS rates for patients with HPV16 and HPV-non16 were 83.4 %(95 % CI 77.8-89.0 %) and 69.3 %(95 % CI 58.5-80.1 %), respectively. OS at 5 years was significantly worse for HPV-non16 subtype, compared to HPV16 (log odds ratio [OR] -0.54, p = 0.008). There was a trend towards worse 5-year RFS with HPV-non16 compared to HPV16 (log OR -0.55, p = 0.063). Patients with HPV-non16 disease were less likely to be p16 positive by IHC (log OR -0.91, p = 0.02).Patients with HPV-non16OPSCC may experience worse OS and were less likely to be p16 positive compared to patients with HPV16 disease. While future prospective validation is warranted, routine assessment of both p16 IHC and HPV subtype could be considered prior to pursuing treatment de-escalation for HPV-associated OPSCC.