The importance of covariate selection in controlling for selection bias in observational studies.

协变量 观察研究 选择偏差 选择(遗传算法) 统计 计量经济学 随机试验 结果(博弈论) 心理学 计算机科学 数学 机器学习 数理经济学
作者
Peter M. Steiner,Thomas D. Cook,William R. Shadish,M. H. Clark
出处
期刊:Psychological Methods [American Psychological Association]
卷期号:15 (3): 250-267 被引量:454
标识
DOI:10.1037/a0018719
摘要

The assumption of strongly ignorable treatment assignment is required for eliminating selection bias in observational studies. To meet this assumption, researchers often rely on a strategy of selecting covariates that they think will control for selection bias. Theory indicates that the most important covariates are those highly correlated with both the real selection process and the potential outcomes. However, when planning a study, it is rarely possible to identify such covariates with certainty. In this article, we report on an extensive reanalysis of a within-study comparison that contrasts a randomized experiment and a quasi-experiment. Various covariate sets were used to adjust for initial group differences in the quasi-experiment that was characterized by self-selection into treatment. The adjusted effect sizes were then compared with the experimental ones to identify which individual covariates, and which conceptually grouped sets of covariates, were responsible for the high degree of bias reduction achieved in the adjusted quasi-experiment. Such results provide strong clues about preferred strategies for identifying the covariates most likely to reduce bias when planning a study and when the true selection process is not known.
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