医学
列线图
肌萎缩
胃切除术
内科学
比例危险模型
队列
癌症
危险系数
回顾性队列研究
肿瘤科
多元分析
胃肠病学
外科
置信区间
作者
Da Zhou,Chenghao Zeng,Li Zhang,Xuejin Gao,Guoli Li,Sheng Wang
标识
DOI:10.1097/meg.0000000000002659
摘要
Background Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common malignant tumors, and its long-term overall survival (OS) still needs to be improved. This study aimed to elucidate the relationship between serum ferritin (SF) and sarcopenia and its ability to predict long-term OS for GC patients. Methods Clinicopathological data from GC patients who underwent radical gastrectomy were reviewed and received 3 years of follow-up after surgery. The correlation between SF and sarcopenia was determined by Spearman analysis. Factors used to establish a nomogram to predict the 3-year OS for GC were identified by multivariate Cox hazard analysis. Results We retrospectively identified 372 GC patients after surgery and randomly divided (3:1) into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The correlation coefficient between SF and sarcopenia was 0.323. GC patients with SF < 151.5 μg/L had a significantly longer 3-year OS. The variables of the nomogram include SF, sarcopenia, TNM stage system, and neoadjuvant chemotherapy. In the training cohort and validation cohort, the area under the time-dependent ROC curve was 0.81 and 0.791, respectively. The calibration curve and decision curve in different cohorts have good consistency. 3-year OS was significantly different among the three groups (log-rank P < 0.001) divided by calculating the nomogram score. Conclusion SF was positively correlated with sarcopenia, and the nomogram was a practical tool for predicting 3-year OS after radical gastrectomy, furthermore could be used to stratify the risk of 3-year OS in patients with GC.
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