强化学习
地铁列车时刻表
风力发电
马尔可夫决策过程
计算机科学
荷电状态
储能
增强学习
能源管理
数学优化
功率(物理)
人工智能
可靠性工程
能量(信号处理)
马尔可夫过程
工程类
数学
电气工程
统计
物理
电池(电)
量子力学
操作系统
作者
Fang Liu,Qianyi Liu,Qing Tao,Yucong Huang,Danyun Li,Denis Sidorov
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.ijepes.2022.108608
摘要
• A power interval prediction model is established based on LSTM and LUBE to quantify the uncertainty of wind power. • The energy storage management is transformed into Markov decision process and solved by deep reinforcement learning. • According to the real-time state, the proposed strategy can make the charge/discharge schedule automatically. Wind power generation combined with energy storage is able to maintain energy balance and realize stable operation. This article proposes a data-driven energy storage management strategy considering the prediction intervals of wind power. Firstly, a power interval prediction model is established based on long-short term memory and lower and upper bound estimation (LUBE) to quantify the uncertainty of wind power, which solves the issue that traditional LUBE cannot adopt gradient descent method. Secondly, the energy storage management is transformed into Markov decision process and solved by deep reinforcement learning. The state space, action space and reward function of the interaction between agent and environment are established, and the value function is approximated through the deep Q network. Then, according to the real-time state, such as wind power, power prediction intervals, local load, dynamic electricity price and state of charge, the proposed strategy can make the charge/discharge schedule automatically. Finally, the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed energy storage management strategy are verified based on real wind farm dataset. The proportion of wrong decisions is zero, and daily transaction cost and wear cost of energy storage management system decrease significantly.
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