Computational fluid dynamics for predicting the growth of small unruptured cerebral aneurysms

OBJECTIVE Larger cerebral aneurysms are more likely to enlarge, but even small aneurysms can grow. The aim of this study was to investigate the hemodynamic characteristics regarding the growth of small aneurysms using computational fluid dynamics (CFD). METHODS The authors analyzed 185 patients with 215 unruptured cerebral aneurysms with a maximum diameter of 3–5 mm, registered in a multicenter prospective observational study of unruptured aneurysms (Systematic Multicenter Study of Unruptured Cerebral Aneurysms Based on Rheological Technique at Mie) from January 2013 to February 2022. Based on findings on repeated images, aneurysms were divided into a stable group (182 aneurysms) and a growth group (33 aneurysms). The authors developed the high shear concentration ratio (HSCR), in which high wall shear stress (HWSS) was defined as a value of 110% of the time-averaged wall shear stress of the dome. High shear area (HSA) was defined as the area with values above HWSS, and the ratio of the HSA to the surface area of the dome was defined as the HSA ratio (HSAR). They also created the flow concentration ratio (FCR) to measure the concentration of the inflow jet. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine morphological variables and hemodynamic parameters that independently characterized the risk of growth. RESULTS The growth group had a significantly higher projection ratio (0.74 vs 0.67, p = 0.04) and volume-to–ostium area ratio (1.72 vs 1.44, p = 0.02). Regarding the hemodynamic parameters, the growth group had significantly higher HSCR (6.39 vs 4.98, p < 0.001), lower HSAR (0.28 vs 0.33, p < 0.001), and lower FCR (0.61 vs 0.67, p = 0.005). In multivariate analyses, higher HSCR was significantly associated with growth (OR 0.81, 95% CI 7.06 e −1 to 9.36 e −1 ; p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS HSCR may be a useful hemodynamic parameter to predict the growth of small unruptured cerebral aneurysms.